Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3.042817 3.457030 3.896552 4.396561 4.948475 5.537932 6.213940
2024-12-15 2.411941 3.010075 3.693290 4.526231 5.508759 6.625190 7.983722
2024-12-22 1.918582 2.609244 3.452263 4.544259 5.907404 7.538236 9.620693
2024-12-29 1.634748 2.398271 3.385511 4.731788 6.493116 8.690370 11.606001
2025-01-05 1.404039 2.208742 3.305166 4.870316 7.003604 9.762104 13.543205
2025-01-12 1.169243 1.970004 3.117904 4.829408 7.253193 10.492532 15.065492
2025-01-19 1.018519 1.826306 3.038208 4.915686 7.664149 11.442492 16.910712
2025-01-26 0.889962 1.694329 2.954480 4.977916 8.032000 12.339734 18.715506
2025-02-02 0.786257 1.585052 2.888680 5.052829 8.412213 13.262295 20.586948
2025-02-09 0.682038 1.457552 2.776408 5.039472 8.650342 13.982727 22.193415
2025-02-16 0.583043 1.322785 2.634417 4.960646 8.774292 14.531751 23.564829
2025-02-23 0.517298 1.239509 2.569226 4.997879 9.075543 15.351083 25.358013
2025-03-02 0.447827 1.139946 2.467907 4.971546 9.283470 16.055820 27.040415
2025-03-09 0.404294 1.086953 2.445913 5.080647 9.720137 17.136061 29.341515
2025-03-16 0.354087 1.010414 2.369849 5.085039 9.979086 17.946541 31.259748
2025-03-23 0.330046 0.989161 2.399200 5.283612 10.580195 19.328724 34.121939
2025-03-30 0.303553 0.957197 2.402638 5.432044 11.099786 20.597690 36.848878
2025-04-06 0.263529 0.883539 2.309854 5.385802 11.267453 21.290261 38.674477
2025-04-13 0.239320 0.846085 2.289876 5.479538 11.690869 22.423708 41.249792
2025-04-20 0.215937 0.806026 2.258967 5.547303 12.067740 23.490264 43.748194
2025-04-27 0.196000 0.771551 2.236361 5.629086 12.473091 24.618523 46.382597
2025-05-04 0.172695 0.721657 2.171070 5.614419 12.691666 25.427953 48.506460
2025-05-11 0.148601 0.663138 2.076903 5.528190 12.764064 25.979422 50.207616